gercohen's blog
With one week of regular voter registration left (ends Friday the 12th, a full business week for the Board of Elections plus Friday is just a postmark deadline for those mailing in their forms) plus the two week registration period at early voting, here are the new voter registration numbers for Orange, both since January 1 (also includes the Amendment One drives) and just this fall.
Voter registration is heavy in Orange County, with 11,223 new voters since January 1, with 3,320 of those August 1 through September 21.
Conventional analysis focuses on net voter registration e.g. changes in totals (by party) since January 1, but I chose to look also at gross totals to see how registration drives are faring, then subtracting to see cancellations.
One big observation, unaffiliated registration has been at record highs this year for Orange, with Ds and Rs at historic lows. I broke out this year in two parts before showing the total for the year. The cancellations are the total of gross minus net, and covers those who move away andd register elsewhere, die, or have felony convictions recorded.
Looks like registration for this year is likely to set an all-time record at the current pace, as registration was quite high for the May Amendment One vote. Regular registration ends October 12, with registration allowed at early voting October 18- November 3
Orange County already has received 803 absentee ballot applications (processing started just a week ago on September 7) including 200 received from addresses outside the US. Seems to me quite a large number for so early in the "season"
For those who like stats, here's a breakdown of the three types: civilian within the US, military anywhere, civilians outside the US (overseas). I broke out the party breakdown of overseas voters as they are interestingly even more heavily Democratic than the general pool. Overseas voters can be college students abroad, those on personal or business travel, expatriates whose last US residence was in Orange County, and even US citizens by birth who have never even been in the US (children of American born parents where the last residence of the parent was in Orange County)
Sample ballots are out, and Orange starts mailing out absentee ballots on Tuesday the 11th.
The key to which precincts get which ballot ind the links to the ballots are at
http://www.co.orange.nc.us/elect/SampleBallot.asp there are four styles because of Orange being in two congressional and two state house districts.
Style 4 is used only in Cameron Park
Style 3 is used only in six northern precincts (Caldwell, Carr, Cedar Grove, Efland, Eno, St Marys, Tolars)
Styles 1 and 2 cover the rest
The board of elections has now allocated all early votes back to the precinct level from the primary, and here are the precinct-by-precinct totals for Amendment One.
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